• Evolutionary Consumption

    Geoffrey Miller, author of the excellent Mating Mind, has recently released Spent; a look at consumerism and marketing through his lens of evolutionary psychology.

    With an existing knowledge of evolutionary psychology theories the ideas in Miller’s latest will come as no surprise. These two reviews are still worth perusing, however:

    Jonathan Gottschall provides a concise overview of Miller’s arguments:

    From Veblen’s classic Theory of the Leisure Class (1899), Miller appropriates the concept of “conspicuous consumption,” whereby people live and spend wastefully just to flaunt the fact that they can. From Darwin, Miller appropriates sexual selection theory—”costly signaling theory” in modern parlance—whereby animals compete by sending signals of their underlying genetic quality. As with the gaudy displays of peacocks, purchasing decisions frequently represent attempts to advertise “fundamental biological virtues” like “bodily traits of health, fitness, fertility, youth, and attractiveness, and mental traits of intelligence and personality.

    Robin Hanson deconstructs Spent into five critical points, offering some fantastic quotes:

    • Signaling infuses most human activity.
    • “Consumer capitalism” marketers trick us into using unreliable signals.
    • We’d be better off to talk and customize more, and work and buy less.
    • Laws aren’t the answer; let’s make better social norms.
    • Let’s also adjust a consumption tax to compensate for side effects.

    This looks like the crux of Spent:

    We are social primates who survive and reproduce largely through attracting practical support from kin, friends, and mates.  We get that support insofar as others view us as offering desirable traits that fit their needs.  Over the past few million years we have evolved many mental and moral capacities to display those desirable traits.  Over the past few thousand years, we have learned that these desirable traits can also be displayed through buying and displaying various goods and services in market economies.

    Update: John Tierney has written a wonderful review of the book for The New York Times.

  • What Beliefs Will Appall Future Generations

    “Many of our grandparents were racist, and some of our parents are homophobes. Which of our own closely held beliefs will our own children and grandchildren be appalled by?” That’s a question being posed on Reddit and the majority of responses are thought provoking and intriguing.

    Phil Dingra selects a few of his favourite replies, a few of which relate to:

    • Privacy
    • Religious overtolerance
    • Nationalism
    • Nudity and pornography taboos
    • Our aversion to eugenics or designer babies

    Two more I would add to this list:

    • Our aversion to euthanasia (or even to debate it seriously)
    • Our current behaviour toward the environment

    via Link Banana

    Just in case it’s not picked up in the ‘similar posts’ section, Gluttony and Adultery dealt with a similar topic.

  • Option Paralysis: The Quarterlife Crisis

    Kate Carraway sums up that modern existential angst experienced by countless twentysomethings: The Quarterlife Crisis, a somewhat disabling mix of akrasia, apathy and ennui brought on by a number of realisations.

    This phenomenon, known as the “Quarterlife Crisis,” is as ubiquitous as it is intangible. Unrelenting indecision, isolation, confusion and anxiety about working, relationships and direction is reported by people in their mid-twenties to early thirties who are usually urban, middle class and well-educated; those who should be able to capitalize on their youth, unparalleled freedom and free-for-all individuation. They can’t make any decisions, because they don’t know what they want, and they don’t know what they want because they don’t know who they are, and they don’t know who they are because they’re allowed to be anyone they want.

    Somewhat in the midst of such a twentysomething void myself (or at least I can sense its advance), am I alone in not resigning myself to this ‘crisis’? This article seems to suggest so, and I doubt this.

    As Michael Kimmel is quoted as saying:

    The Quarterlife Crisis is a kind of anticipatory crisis: ‘How is my life going to turn out? I don’t have a clue; I don’t have a map; I don’t have a vision for it.’

    To simply just accept this situation seems almost insulting.

    Update: Ben Casnocha has also written about The Quarterlife Crisis, linking to some of his other great articles that cover similar ground.

  • Scams, Cons and the Psychology Behind Them

    Back in January Jason pointed to Wikipedia’s list of confidence tricks; an educational and amusing read.

    Now, the UK’s Office of Fair Trading has commissioned some research into why people fall victim to scams (pdf). According to the (260 page) report, here are the reasons why successful scams fool us:

    • Appeals to trust and authority.
    • Visceral triggers.
    • Scarcity cues.
    • Induction of behavioural commitment.
    • The disproportionate relation between the size of the alleged reward and the cost of trying to obtain it.
    • Lack of emotional control.

    For a concise (and readable) overview of the paper’s findings, The Psychology of Being Scammed from Mind Hacks is what you should read. Vaughan sums up with:

    It’s becoming clear that those things that we think make us resistant to scams (a keen analytical mind) are not what help us avoid being a victim.

  • The Longevity of Our Work

    I’m not a Flash designer, but Jonathan Harris’ inspiring and rousing speech from Flash on the Beach 2008 really got me thinking about the longevity of my work.

    It appears that some attendees of the conference felt Harris was admonishing the Flash community. However, after reading this speech I feel inspired and I can’t help but think this was the intention.

    You will become known for doing what you do. This may sound obvious, but it is a useful thing to realize. Many people seem to think they must endure a “rite of passage” which, once passed, will allow them to do the kind of work they want to do. Then they end up disappointed that this day never comes. Find a way to do the work you want to do, even if it means working nights and weekends. Once you’ve done a handful of excellent things in a given way, you will become known as the person who does excellent things in that given way. And that’s the person you want to be, because then people will hire you to be that person.

  • Consumer Profiling and Credit Card Data Mining

    I’ve always loved reading and learning about data mining and its applications in various fields. Because of this, Charles Duhigg’s comprehensive look at the consumer profiling practices of credit card companies was my favourite read over the weekend.

    [Researchers] emphasized that the biggest profits didn’t come from people who always paid off their bills but rather from less-responsible clients who never paid their entire balance. […]

    But giving credit cards to riskier customers posed a problem: How do you know which cardholders will pay something each month, providing fat profits, and which will simply run up a huge tab and then disappear?

    [One] solution was learning to predict how different types of customers would behave. Card companies began running tens of thousands of experiments each year, testing the emotions elicited by various card colors and the appeal of different envelope sizes, for instance, or whether new immigrants were more responsible than cardholders born in this country. By understanding customers’ psyches, the companies hoped, they could tell who was a bad risk and either deny their application or, for those who were already cardholders, start shrinking their available credit and increasing minimum payments to squeeze out as much cash as possible before they defaulted.

    There are some fascinating insights in the article, and throughout I was reminded of this Marissa Mayer quote (from her Charlie Rose appearance), taken from Super Crunchers—a book on number analysis and data mining:

    Credit-card companies can tell whether a couple is going to get divorced two years beforehand, with 98% likelihood.

    The validity of that statement seems slightly dubious, but I love it nonetheless.

  • Cardiff Characters

    I have recently become enamoured with two photo projects showing two very different sides to my home city, Cardiff.

    The official word on the city is slightly amusing… in a cheesy, sales-pitch kind of way.

  • The Future of the Calendar

    The calendar has the possibility to become “the biggest software revolution of the future”, says Scott Adams in an article looking at how crucial time and proximity are in making information (more) relevant.

    I also found myself agreeing with Adams’ thoughts on news:

    When I read the news, I’m generally most interested in how stories have unfolded across time. I want to know the “new news,” as in the topics that have never been reported until today, but I also want ongoing charts and graphs about the “old news” such as wars and the economy. My understanding of the war in Iraq, for example, has little to do with what blew up today and a lot to do with the trend lines over the entire war. In other words, I see the news in terms of time.

  • How Do Free Online Book Releases Affect Sales?

    Do free book releases (gratis and/or libre) affect books sales in a positive or negative way? To try and find out, John Hilton of Brigham Young University tracked the sales of books 8 weeks prior and following a number of promotional free release from various publishers.

    On March 4 of this year, Random House announced that it would release five books for free through its science fiction portal, all of which came in downloadable PDF files (among other formats). Hilton recorded the before and after book sales and found that “one of the five books has had zero sales in 2009. So no sales before or after the free version. But the other four books all saw significant sales increases after the free versions were released. In total, combined sales of the five books were up 11%. Together they sold 4,633 copies the 8 weeks prior to being released free and 5,155 copies the eight weeks after being released.”

    However the results were quite conflicting, with some seeing an upturn in sales (as above) and others having a drastic drop. The debate continues.

  • (Un)Successful Assignment Proposals

    I could/should have included this in my previous post on Baum, but I believe these merit separate mention:

    As Jason points out, New Yorker editor John Bennet called Baum’s proposal for a story about a Mexican government official (pdf) “the best proposal he’d ever read”. Some facts from that story:

    One Mexican in ten lives in the United States, about half illegally. The wages they send home are Mexico’s third-biggest source of income after tourism and oil. In the demographic undertow of that tidal wave are 90 Mexican microregions that have been drained of men. Migration to the U.S. is as central to Mexico’s culture as it is to its economy.

    Update: Dan Baum now offers a proposal-writing service and as such his collection of proposals have been removed. A real loss. Luckily for us, the proposal above (for a story about a Mexican government official) is still available.